Saturday 15 February 2014

My own wee cynical theory

All the main political parties in the UK have rejected the SNP's plan to share the pound with an independent Scotland. This is fighting stuff and it has really scuppered Mr Salmond

Now here is my own wee theory

Mr Salmond is a very clever man and a very clever politician. He has realised for a long time that a truly independent Scotland would be a bad thing for Scotland, and although he still campaigns for it - he doesn't actually want it.
His party have achieved a huge amount. We now have our own devolved government in Scotland with more powers than even he has got round to using.
We have the best of both worlds - control over much of what matters to us - whilst still being  part of the UK.

The SNP were voted into power as a result of the Scottish people's dislike of all the other parties - a huge protest vote. It was not because the Scottish people wanted independence.

David Cameron thought that by allowing (almost pushing) the SNP to have a referendum they would expose them and shut them up.
I dont' believe that anyone at that point, thought for half a second, that there was a remote possibility of them winning - including Alex Salmond himself.

But things have changed and the latest polls are showing that the SNP hold 40% of the vote of those who have definitely made up their minds. ie 40% will definitely vote for independence in September and a large number are still undecided

This has caused panic in the UK Parliament and in Mr Salmond.

So - Mr Carney - the Canadian Governor of The Bank of England - had a private meeting with Mr Salmond.
Could they possibly have discussed -
"How to prevent independence whilst allowing Mr Salmond and the SNP  to save face"?
If they did - then it may have been achieved by what has followed.

Not being allowed to share the pound with the UK after independence - should stop Scots voting for independence  - as clearly the alternatives are not attractive economically or politically.

Mr Salmond and the SNP can blame it all on the English bully boys and save face.

My worry is that Scots think and vote with their emotions - without any use of logic - and the plan may backfire.


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